Iran will not react rashly

By Hassan Hanizadeh

Mideast affairs expert

In a brazen move, the Israeli regime launched a pre-dawn attack on Saturday with dozens of fighter jets, in coordination with US forces in the region, targeting several military sites in Iran. According to Iranian military officials, Israeli aircraft did not cross into Iranian airspace, and the country’s air defense systems successfully countered the strikes, minimizing the damage.

The question on everyone’s mind now is how Iran will hit back at to the Israeli aggression and whether it will retaliate immediately. Will tensions between the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Israeli regime escalate or reduce?
Based on official stances in the Islamic Republic of Iran, particularly the Leader’s remarks, Iran will not react impulsively or hastily. Moreover, Iran’s Armed Forces will conduct a thorough assessment of the recent Israeli attacks to identify their weaknesses and strengths, as well as those of their adversary. Therefore, it appears that the Islamic Republic of Iran will not respond immediately to Israel’s aggression, although it will remain on high alert to counter potential future threats.

Responding to Israel’s attacks is Iran’s right, but Tehran will exercise this right based on its thorough evaluations and within the framework of its national interests and regional considerations. Therefore, we will not witness an emotional or hasty reaction from Iran.
The situation demands that resistance groups exercise greater prudence in countering Israel. It seems that Israel is planning to launch a ground invasion into southern Lebanon, so the Resistance Front and Iran should closely monitor all Israeli and US movements in the region and brace themselves to face any eventuality.
Currently, the United States is not in a position to welcome a large-scale war in the region. Following the presidential election, they may outline new policies for West Asia. Therefore, until the US presidential election, the Biden administration will likely try to ease tensions and may not permit Israel to embark on new adventures against Iran. However, if Donald Trump wins the election, regional tensions may further build up, given his and the Republicans’ close ties with Israeli hardliners and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
It is predictable that tensions between Iran and Israel will ease in the short term. If peace talks and a cease-fire yield tangible results, they will also have a positive impact on reducing tensions. However, this does not mean that Iran and the Resistance Axis will let their guard down against Israel’s destructive actions and potential adventures. There is no doubt about Netanyahu’s warmongering and his efforts to expand the scope of conflict, but neither the United States nor regional countries currently welcome such an idea.