Tuesday, October 28, 2025

Clearly the Military/Security Complex Does Not Expect Trump to Deliver Peace

The West Has Decided It Will Be War 

By Dr. Paul Craig Roberts

Gilbert Doctorow and I have pointed out that Putin’s effort to prevent wider war has caused wider war. The White House’s cancellation of the meeting of Trump with Putin in Hungary is powerful evidence of Putin’s strategic blunder of pretending that the war the West has declared on Russia was merely a limited military operation in Donbas to rescue the Russian populations there from massacre by the US trained and equipped Ukrainian neo-Nazi army. Trump cancelled the meeting because Putin refused a ceasefire that left the root cause of the conflict unaddressed.

The root cause of the conflict is the West’s hostility toward Russia. The Wolfowitz Doctrine says that the principal goal of US foreign policy is to prevent the rise of any country that could serve as a constraint on American unilateralism. In addition to Russia and China declared as American enemies, there is on a regional basis Iran. Thus, America’s three enemies.

The root cause of the conflict is America’s hegemonic foreign policy ideology. This together with NATO and US missile bases on Russia’s border creates enormous Russian insecurity. The solution is to renounce Washington’s hegemonic doctrine and consent to a mutual security agreement that gets NATO off of Russia’s border.

That is not going to happen. There is no recognition in Western foreign policy of the threat posed to Russia. Instead the threat is misrepresented as a Russian threat to invade Europe, which is total nonsense.

As facts play no role, no good decision can be made. That means war, not peace.

The financial markets see the future to be war:

Clearly the US Military/Security Complex Does Not Expect Trump to Deliver Peace.

John Helmer points out that the S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF has risen by more than 50% since Trump took over in January. 

Neither does the European Military/security complex expect peace.

The STOXX Europe Defence Index for shares of the 10 leading UK, Europe weapons companies has jumped by 121% this year to date. 


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*Paul Craig Roberts is a renowned author and academic, chairman of The Institute for Political Economy where this article was originally published. Dr. Roberts was previously associate editor and columnist for The Wall Street Journal. He was Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Policy during the Reagan Administration. He is a regular contributor to Global Research.

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