Sunday, December 31, 2023

US Concern about Possible Engagement in Conflict with Yemen’s Ansarollah

Strategic Council Online - Opinion: Yemen is the most important front that has been opened against the Zionist regime parallel with the Gaza war and has been able to inflict strategic and important blows on that regime in field and non-field dimensions. Barsam Mohammadi – Expert on regional affairs

The activism of this front, which has seriously overshadowed “calculations” of the war against Gaza, will gradually have more effects on the “balance of power” and the field, political, and security equations of this war. This issue has worried the leaders of the Zionist regime and the US administration.

It is noteworthy that the Zionist regime basically cannot confront Ansarollah; therefore, it is organizing the so-called aggressive policies and measures against Yemen through the United States.

Recently, the American media “Semafor” claimed in a report that Washington is considering a direct attack on Yemen’s Houthis in response to the increase in attacks on commercial ships in the Red Sea.

The “Washington Post” newspaper also wrote in a report that the United States is expanding a multinational military unit in the Red Sea to prevent the expansion of Israel’s war against the Gaza Strip in the region, and the purpose of this action is to prevent attacks on commercial ships that are passing close to Yemen.

Although the US and the Israeli regime have repeatedly made several statements regarding the threats to their interests from Yemen’s Ansarollah and have even threatened to counter Yemen’s measures, they are in a situation where they are entering into any conflict with the Yemenis. At the same time, they dominate the important areas of the Red Sea, which will definitely be more painful for the US and the Zionist regime. However, this issue faces important obstacles, the most important of which are mentioned below:

One, the performance and experience of Yemen’s Ansarollah in the 8-year war with the Saudi coalition are in the eyes of the United States. This issue has caused the White House to be very cautious in dealing with Ansarollah, which has reached good levels of “hard and soft deterrence” today.

Two, Ansarollah’s positions, which have shown that they follow every word they say, have added to the “intensity of concern’ of the Americans about the conflict with Ansarollah and its regional consequences, which will definitely confront this country with many problems.

The White House is confident that any aggression against Ansarollah, which has a significant number of ballistic missiles, advanced long-range drones, and sea mines, will be immediately met with a heavy attack on US bases in Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, and Bahrain, where thousands of US troops are stationed.

“Ali al-Qhoom,” a member of the political bureau of Yemen’s Ansarollah, in an interview with Al-Mayadeen network, warned: Any hostile action against Yemen will have dire consequences and high costs. Therefore, the US is not willing to target Yemeni missile and drone systems due to the fear of Yemen’s retaliatory measures.

Three; despite the extensive military equipment that the Zionist regime has sent to the very small Gaza area with the help and support of the United States, they are currently trapped in the Gaza swamp. From this point of view, conflict with a front that is ten times more powerful than the Palestinian Resistance is definitely a “difficult and dangerous” issue for the United States. That is why several present and former US defense officials have warned the country’s administration that if Ansarollah and other Resistance groups are attacked, the US and its allies will face great risks.

Four; the consequences of the direct conflict with Yemen’s Ansarollah have caused the US to form a naval military and security coalition known as the “Guardian of Welfare” against Ansarollah and leave the confrontation with the Yemenis to this coalition, which will be directed and led by itself.

In fact, the US seeks to divide the responsibility of the conflict with Yemen in a “stepping” manner and among the countries of the region! But forming this coalition, which is currently on paper, is not an easy task.

There is this point of view among some Arab countries: why should they participate against Ansarollah and a country that does not threaten their interests and whose account party is only the Zionist regime? As Cairo has clearly stated, considering that there is no threat from Yemen towards it. Therefore, they will never enter into any security or military alliance to confront the armed forces of Yemen.

At the same time, Riyadh did not want to participate in the White House coalition and pressured Washington to “show restraint” in its responses to Ansarollah. On the other hand, some of the US Western allies, such as France, Italy, and Spain, have also announced their non-participation in this coalition led by the United States and have emphasized that they will participate only in the form of alliances under the leadership of NATO or the European Union.

The fact that the American, Zionist, and Western circles claim that Ansarollah has endangered the safety of navigation is only a claim. Based on specific religious and political principles that Ansarollah adheres to in the issue of Palestine and Gaza, it has announced that it only targets the interests of the Zionist regime and the foreign trade of the ships related to it.

Considering that the White House is aware of the consequences of any adventure against the Yemenis, therefore, it intends to pay the political, security, etc., costs of the conflict with Yemen from the pockets of the Arab, European, and even the Security Council! Of course, it is quite clear that the US entry into the war with Yemen and Ansarollah, in any form and by any means, is a “dangerous action” for regional and international peace and security, and the United States must take the “responsibility” for its consequences. Therefore, the US must have a correct assessment of the strategic situation in the region. If it seeks to prevent the spread of war and the escalation of regional tensions, it must form a military coalition to curb the military crimes of the Zionist regime in Gaza.

Instead of looking for the cause of the threat in Yemen and the Red Sea, the US should see it in Gaza and occupied Palestine. Yemen’s position is also quite clear; as long as the siege of Gaza is not lifted and the crimes of the Zionists in it are not stopped; the attack on the ships bound for the ports of the Zionist regime will not be stopped.

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