Saturday, October 31, 2026

How US, Europe, Persian Gulf states exhausted missile stockpiles, splurged billions to defend Israel

Israel’s defense from Iranian retaliation has cost its allies – US, Europe, Persian Gulf monarchies – billions of dollars, depleted critical missile stockpiles, damaged military infrastructure, increased security risks, and intensified economic pressures.

By Arman Shariati

Israeli regime’s airspace – the airspace over the occupied territories – is widely regarded as among the most heavily defended in the world.

Yet the scale of its protection cannot be explained by Israeli military technology alone. Russia, China and even the United States do not benefit from an equivalent network of allied support dedicated to intercepting threats before they reach their territory.

Israel’s own defenses are indeed formidable. Arrow 3 is designed to intercept ballistic missiles outside the atmosphere, while Arrow 2 targets ballistic missile threats within it. David’s Sling is built to counter medium-range threats, and Iron Dome intercepts rockets and other short-range projectiles.

These systems are backed by fighter jets and an extensive radar network, creating multiple layers of protection against incoming attacks.

But Israel’s air defense shield extends well beyond its own arsenal. From October 2023 through Iran’s retaliatory missile and drone operations in 2024, 2025 and 2026, a group of allied states has played an active role in protecting the regime.

They have provided interceptors, radar capabilities, fighter aircraft, military bases and personnel, helping the Tel Aviv regime detect, track and counter incoming threats.

What emerges is not simply a domestic air-defense network, but a wider umbrella sustained by the resources and involvement of powerful allies – from the US to Europe to Arab countries.

Interceptor trails over central Israel during a night of Iranian missile fire.
This ironclad commitment of regional and extra-regional countries to Israel’s protection has come at a considerable cost.

The price goes well beyond dollars and shekels. It includes depleted weapons stockpiles that could take years to replenish, damaged radars and military bases, soldiers killed or wounded, and governments facing domestic political backlash for a costly partnership that much of their own public fiercely opposes and protests against.

The burden, however, is not shared equally. The United States has shouldered the largest financial and military inventory costs. The Persian Gulf monarchies and Jordan have faced intense operational demands and direct security risks. European states have incurred more limited but still significant costs, particularly in munitions and the political fallout from a war that has driven up energy prices and compounded the cost-of-living pressures facing their populations.

The Israeli bill

The Israeli regime’s direct costs are the easiest to track because they fall on its own treasury. In April 2024, after Iran launched a large number of drones and missiles at the occupied territories, Brig. Gen. Reem Aminoach, an economic adviser to a former Israeli military chief of staff, estimated in an interview with Ynet that defending against the attack that night had cost 4-5 billion shekels, or roughly $1.1–$1.35 billion at the exchange rate at the time.

Haaretz later put the total cost of defending against the same retaliatory attack at around $1.5 billion. That was just one night. Many more retaliatory strikes have hit the occupied territories since then.

The cost structure follows a clear logic. Iran uses inexpensive drones and mass-produced missiles, while Israel relies on some of the world’s most expensive interceptors to defend against them.

This disparity lies at the heart of the war’s financial burden. Israel’s broader budget picture adds another dimension. Sustained, high-intensity defensive operations have forced the regime to spend far more than it did previously.

With a net budget of about 60 billion shekels in 2023, the Israeli military could not sustain repeated nights of interceptions without substantial increases in funding and continued US support.

Israel has been able to sustain this costly imbalance largely because of extensive financial backing from American taxpayers. Much of its interceptor production is funded or co-developed through US programs, and the Arrow missile defense system is produced with American participation.

US Congress has also repeatedly approved emergency supplemental funding for Israeli missile defense. These ties mean that Israel’s financial burden and America’s are deeply interconnected and difficult to separate, which explains the public anger in the US.

The David’s Sling, Israel’s second line of defense against ballistic missiles after the Arrow family
The American inventory crisis

No country has spent more on Israel’s defense than the United States, and no factor is more consequential than the state of its interceptor stockpiles. Washington may be willing to spend the tens of billions of dollars required to protect their genocidal ally, but willingness alone cannot resolve the US military’s primary challenge: replenishing its dwindling missile interceptors.

The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), an American think tank, has published some of the most widely cited public estimates of US missile interceptor inventories.

Its analysis, updated following the 40-day war against Iran, found that American Patriot and THAAD inventories had declined dramatically.

According to CSIS estimates, the US inventory of Patriot interceptors fell from approximately 2,330 before the war began on February 27, 2026, to between 759 and 827 by July 27, 2026, marking a decline of roughly two-thirds.

The THAAD inventory also dropped sharply, falling from an estimated 452 interceptors before the war to between 239 and 257 by July 27, representing a decline of approximately 43 to 47 percent.

Estimates of remaining American Interceptor inventory (Source: CSIS)
Many military experts believe CSIS’s estimates are overly optimistic. Some, for instance, argue that the United States may have fired as many as 290 of its roughly 360 THAAD interceptors during the early phase of the war. That would amount to more than 80 percent of its pre-war stockpile.

Whatever the exact figures, Washington’s decision to prioritize Israel’s defense has left the US military dangerously underprepared and more vulnerable to another round of war if it breaks out.

The cost of replenishing stockpiles

The US Army’s FY2027 figures put the unit cost of a PAC-3 MSE interceptor at roughly $5 million and that of a THAAD interceptor at nearly $12 million.

Based on these figures, replacing the Patriot and THAAD interceptors expended would cost an estimated $10 billion. The Congressional Budget Office has offered a higher estimate, putting the cost of replacing the depleted interceptors at approximately $13.1 billion.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in recent remarks noted that the US spent about $11 billion on missile defense for Israel over three years. In a post on X, quoting a tweet of a former Obama administration official, he said US forces had fired 609 interceptors in defense of the Israeli regime between October 2023 and June 2026, including SM-2, SM-3, SM-6, Patriot, and THAAD missiles.

The naval picture

The US Navy’s missile interceptor inventories are also under severe strain. The SM-3 and SM-6 are among the principal naval weapons used to counter ballistic missiles and other high-speed threats.

Public estimates vary widely, with some reports placing combined naval inventories in the low hundreds. A figure of 150–200 for the two interceptor types combined is plausible as a rough order of magnitude, but no precise public count is available.

The broader concern is that naval interceptors are expensive and slow to manufacture, while the Navy must preserve sufficient stocks to address other potential threats, including those posed by China and Russia. Every interceptor expended in the defense of Israel is therefore one fewer available for other contingencies until it can be replaced.

Not all US and allied defenses against Iran relied on ground-based or naval interceptors. Fighter jets also engaged Iranian drones using air-to-air missiles, including the AIM-9X and AIM-120. The AIM-9X reportedly costs several hundred thousand dollars per missile, while the AIM-120 AMRAAM costs more than $1 million.

Using such expensive weapons to destroy drones that cost only thousands of dollars compounds the economic imbalance, even when the immediate tactical objective is achieved.

The trade-off

By the final phase of the 40-day imposed war, following the initial ceasefire, it had become clear that US commanders were holding back dedicated SM-3 and THAAD interceptors rather than expending them to protect American bases in Jordan and elsewhere.

Footage of nighttime defensive missile launches appeared to show almost exclusively Patriot interceptors, with only one exception. The implication was stark: stocks had dwindled to the point where US commanders could no longer afford to use these missiles freely.

The apparent logic was to preserve the remaining interceptors for a larger war, prioritizing the future defense of Israel over the immediate protection of American service members.

That decision carried its own cost. Aircraft on the ground were hit, and US personnel were killed in some of the retaliatory attacks. This matters because it illustrates the full price of managing depleted stockpiles. A shortage of interceptors weakened the US military’s defensive capacity across multiple theaters, leaving American personnel exposed to attacks that more robust defenses might have helped repel – all in the effort to protect the Israeli regime.

Cost, however, is only part of the problem. Production capacity is the more consequential constraint in a prolonged campaign.

Patriot and THAAD interceptors are manufactured in limited quantities, and expanding output takes time.

CSIS estimates that restoring Patriot and THAAD inventories to their pre-war levels will take at least three years. Interceptors ordered in fiscal year 2027 are not expected to arrive until 2029, leaving a prolonged gap between expenditure and replenishment.


American MQ9s and barracks destroyed in Muwaffaq Salti Air Base, Jordan, in 2026
The China and Asia-Pacific dimension

The most serious long-term cost to the United States may emerge far from the West Asia region. As US interceptor stocks are depleted in the region, the Pacific is left more exposed.

The Indo-Pacific is where Washington faces its most formidable strategic competitor. Taiwan’s defense depends in part on US air and missile defenses, while Pentagon war plans for a potential war with China assume that American forces can withstand and respond to large-scale missile attacks.

If SM-3, SM-6, and Patriot inventories fall to a fraction of their previous levels, the margin for absorbing such an attack narrows considerably. A few hundred interceptors would be insufficient to sustain even several days of high-intensity combat in East Asia.

The extent to which US military capabilities in the South China Sea and across East Asia have been weakened cannot yet be quantified.

Nevertheless, the underlying concern is widely recognized among defense analysts: a shortage of interceptors in one theater affects the military’s ability to respond in every theater, and the Pacific is particularly difficult to reinforce quickly.

Persian Gulf states and early-warning network

The Persian Gulf monarchies and Jordan contributed to Israel’s defense in a different but equally consequential way.

Their role was not primarily to supply interceptors, but to provide sensors, airspace access, military bases, and the political authorization needed to put these assets to use.

Missile defense depends on early warning. A THAAD battery cannot intercept a missile it has not detected, and detection depends on radars capable of identifying and tracking threats at sufficient range and speed. The AN/TPY-2 radar used by THAAD is a large, transportable system. The US Missile Defense Agency’s 2025 budget puts the cost of each unit at approximately half a billion dollars.

In March 2026, during the first days of the 40-day imposed war of aggression, the American THAAD radar at Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan was struck and destroyed. Imagery showed craters around the site, suggesting that multiple strikes may have been involved.

Buildings housing similar radar systems were also hit at two locations in the United Arab Emirates. Another THAAD radar, at Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia, was destroyed as well.

Iran also targeted and struck the AN/FPS-132 early-warning radar in Qatar, which was used to track Iranian missile launches.

Taken together, these incidents point to a broader pattern of Iranian retaliatory attacks on US-aligned early-warning radars and THAAD sites across the region.

This interpretation is consistent with the available satellite imagery, which indicates that the campaign extended beyond individual military installations to the sensor network underpinning regional missile defense that has been at the service of the US and the Israeli regime.

The AN/FPS-132 radar in Qatar following the initial Iranian Attack
Such radars are expensive and exceptionally difficult to replace. Their value lies not only in the hardware itself, but also in their integration with interceptor batteries and the data links connecting them to other sensors.

Destroying a single radar can compromise an entire interceptor network’s ability to detect and track threats approaching from a particular direction. Replacing these systems can take months or even years, and rebuilding them does not necessarily restore the coverage they previously provided.

Radar losses therefore carry a strategic cost as well as a financial one. Once a radar is destroyed, the states that depend on it must decide whether to rebuild it at an exposed location, relocate it, or accept a gap in their defensive coverage.

By providing Israel and the United States with tracking data on Iranian projectiles, Arab monarchies exposed themselves to Iranian retaliation and risked becoming direct targets in a war they had helped shape.

These losses also raised questions about Saudi Arabia’s vulnerability as the wider regional confrontation extended to other fronts.

Yemen is a prominent example. Damage to radar and air defense assets across the Persian Gulf may have further complicated Saudi Arabia’s position in its prolonged war against Yemen.

Although the Ansarullah-led Yemeni military possesses independent capabilities, and Saudi Arabia’s difficulties in Yemen stem from numerous military, political, and strategic factors, the decision to contribute to Israel’s defense added another layer of risk for the Persian Gulf monarchies.

Their involvement exposed critical military infrastructure to retaliation and potentially weakened their ability to respond to threats beyond the immediate confrontation with Iran.

An AN/TPY-2 radar destroyed in UAE
Jordan’s exposed position

Jordan’s case is perhaps the most striking because of its small military and fragile economy. The country hosts US occupation forces, including a THAAD battery at Muwaffaq Salti Air Base, and lies along the flight paths of missiles and drones traveling between Iran and the Israeli-occupied territories.

During Iran’s 2024 retaliatory strikes, Jordan’s air force was reported to have intercepted many of Iranian drones and missiles crossing its airspace. The Jordanian government defended these actions as necessary to protect its territory and citizens – a lame justification.

For a country with limited military resources, however, the cost was significant: every interceptor fired and every fighter jet scrambled placed additional demands on an already constrained defense budget.

The political cost was even greater. Jordan has a large population of Palestinian origin, and public opinion is strongly sympathetic to Palestinians in Gaza and the occupied West Bank as well as the Axis of Resistance.

Jordan’s decision to intercept Iranian projectiles launched in retaliation for Israeli strikes proved controversial domestically, with Jordanians slamming their government for helping protect the Israeli regime.

Jordan made this choice despite facing its own concerns about Israel’s regional ambitions. Members of Israel’s ruling regime have openly advocated annexing the occupied West Bank, while some have promoted proposals that would displace Palestinians into Jordan.

This context makes Amman’s involvement in regional missile defense particularly sensitive. The country faces the dual risk of Iranian retaliation against US military assets on its soil and growing domestic anger over its role in protecting Israel.

Jordan’s economic vulnerabilities compound these pressures. Public debt, energy costs, and the burden of hosting refugees already strain its finances. Against this backdrop, even a relatively modest additional military expenditure can have significant consequences.

Jordan’s experience illustrates how participation in regional missile defense can impose not only military and financial costs, but also serious domestic political risks.

Royal Jordanian Airforce F-16. These aircraft were used numerous times to intercept drones launched at Israel.
Europe’s price

European states paid in a different currency. Most did not expend large numbers of interceptors against Iranian drones, but their involvement carried costs across three main areas: munitions, military operations, and the economic shock of the war imposed on Iran.

France deployed air assets to the region to intercept drones and missiles over the Eastern Mediterranean and the Levant. Some reports suggested that French stocks of air-to-air missiles, including the MICA, came under strain.

Such shortages would be significant, given France’s other military commitments. Its air force and weapons inventories are already stretched across support for Ukraine, operations in the Sahel, and the maintenance of its own strategic deterrent. Each additional deployment reduces the resources available for other missions.

Britain used its bases in Cyprus, including RAF Akrotiri, as well as its military presence in the Persian Gulf, to support operations against Iran. Reports indicated that RAF aircraft intercepted drones and missiles. The British armed forces are considerably smaller than they were at the height of the country’s military power, and sustained operations of this kind consume substantial flying hours, spare parts, and personnel capacity.

Europe’s greatest burden, however, has been economic and political. Closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the collapse of Persian Gulf energy exports drove up oil, gas, and diesel prices.

Europe’s dependence on imported energy meant that the shock quickly fed into household bills, transport costs, and food prices. Many European governments were already grappling with public dissatisfaction over the cost of living before the 40-day war. The war intensified those pressures as is evident now with protests raging across European countries.

European governments that committed military resources to Israel’s defense and offensive operations now face a difficult question: will their own citizens view that commitment as a principled security measure or as complicity in policies that have contributed to worsening economic conditions?

There is no straightforward answer, but the issue has become part of Europe’s domestic political debate. The costs of defending Israel have reached far beyond the battlefield, affecting budgets, energy security, and public confidence in government policy.

Defending the indefensible

The costs of protecting Israel have been substantial, although they have fallen unevenly across the countries involved.

The United States has spent billions of dollars and depleted significant portions of its advanced interceptor stockpiles, with replenishment expected to take years. The Persian Gulf states and Jordan have suffered damage to radar and air defense assets while assuming additional security risks.

European countries have borne the costs of munitions and military operations, alongside an energy shock that has intensified public anger over the cost of living.

Yet the financial figures tell only part of the story. The more fundamental question is whether the policies driving these expenditures serve the interests of the governments and populations bearing the costs.

The costs are real and continue to mount: public expenditure, depleted interceptor stockpiles, damaged radars and military bases, and the heightened risk of retaliation against countries drawn into a war beyond their borders. Meanwhile, rising fuel, food, and housing costs have placed additional pressure on ordinary households, deepening public frustration with government decisions.

Israel’s regional military campaign has drawn its partners further into a confrontation whose consequences extend well beyond the immediate battlefield. For these governments, the challenge is no longer simply how to sustain their support for Israel, but how to justify its mounting costs to their own populations.

The question is how much more they are willing to spend, how much additional risk they are prepared to accept, and how long their citizens will continue to support a policy whose burdens are becoming increasingly difficult to ignore.

The US Has Withdrawn Its Troops – But Has It Really Left Iraq?

By Robert Inlakesh

US troops have withdrawn from Iraq. (Photo: Military Times// Wikimedia Commons)

US troops have withdrawn from Iraq, but Washington retains extensive financial, political and security leverage over the country it invaded.

On the face of things, US President Donald Trump’s announcement of withdrawal from Iraq appears to be a step in the right direction, perhaps even the beginning of a new era for the nation that has faced endless decades of war. However, the picture here isn’t quite that simple.

More than 23 years after invading Iraq and overthrowing its government, the US has announced that its war is over and it has withdrawn all of its service members from the country. Now, its next step is disarming the country’s resistance factions and ensuring that it will wind up just as defenseless as it was in the face of the ISIS insurgency in 2014.

October 21, 2011, former American President Barack Obama announced the end of the Iraq War and full withdrawal of troops; only two and a half years later, he was sending his soldiers back, this time at the request of the government in Baghdad. The reason was the overwhelming force of the ISIS assault; the Iraqi military was simply incapable of defending against the Takfiri movement and required assistance.

When Obama sent soldiers into Iraq, he only authorized the deployment of 5,000 personnel and would go on to provide air support against ISIS militants. Meanwhile, militia groups began forming in June of 2014 to put up a real resistance to the terrorist takeover of their nation’s territories. 

Putting aside the question of who was truly behind the sudden emergence of ISIS, the bottom line is that the United States had gutted the Iraqi State and left in its place a corrupted shell. There was no army capable of upholding the nation’s sovereignty, as tens of thousands of militants alone easily took over major cities. The invasion in 2003, which turned into an occupation, followed up with a so-called nation-building project, was the twisted process of demolishing Iraq’s sovereignty.

The men who actually defeated ISIS on the ground belonged to militia groups, formed with the help of the Quds Force of neighboring Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). This collection of militias was called the Hashd al-Shaabi, or Popular Mobilization Units (PMU) in English. General Qassem Soleimani led this anti-ISIS project and helped build significant power for Iraqi militia groups, most of which were composed of Shia Muslims who owed allegiance to the Marja of Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei, Iran’s former Supreme Leader.

Iran jumped in to ensure that the Iraqis could resist ISIS for three primary reasons: They sought to prevent the ISIS insurgency from spilling over their own border; they owed allegiance to their co-religionists and sought to protect Shia Holy Sites; and they also saw an opportunity to expand the footprint of the Axis of Resistance.

Under the US’s so-called “Operation Inherent Resolve”, Washington was able to conveniently get a foothold inside Iraqi territory, granting it access to key supply routes that would later aid their regime change project in neighboring Syria. Without access to Iraqi territory, their occupation of north-eastern Syrian lands – where the country’s oil wealth and most fertile agricultural lands are located – would not have been possible.

Now that the regime change in Syria has been completed, they have become the backers of the new administration inside Damascus. In addition to this, during the 40-day war on Iran earlier this year, US bases and forces took enormous hits from Iran and its Iraqi militia allies alike. This military pressure, combined with the lack of a need to physically remain, prompted the withdrawal that Trump had pledged all the way back in his first term as President.

The US claims it “defeated ISIS”, when the reality is that they simply provided air support when it was convenient for them. The Hashd al-Shaabi actually defeated ISIS inside Iraq. Trump, meanwhile, assassinated leading figures within the PMU like Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, alongside Iran’s top general, Qassem Soleimani. Even in neighboring Syria, the US only lost a few dozen service members fighting ISIS on the ground, while their Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) allies lost around 11,000 fighters doing so.

All of this is to say that the US departure may have been encouraged by Iraqi and Iranian attacks on their forces, but they have not actually left Iraq. The Prime Minister of Iraq, Ali al-Zaidi, is under the thumb of the United States and is by far the most pro-US Premier we have seen in many years.

The United States not only set up a Confessionalist Government in Baghdad, based on sectarian quotas, but they also ensured that it would be the most corrupt system possible. Baghdad’s revenues that feed its State budget are all deposited in the Central Bank of Iraq account at the Federal Reserve Bank, located in New York. This was a result of a mechanism built into the US’s Development Fund for Iraq.

Around 90% of Iraq’s State revenues come from its oil sector, which, as explained above, goes through a system that is totally dependent upon the United States allowing Baghdad access to its own funds. In order to grant the Iraqi State its funds, the US periodically transfers $500 million in physical cash shipments to the Central Bank of Iraq.

In addition to this, US corporations are invested in Iraq’s oil sector, its energy infrastructure, education, and even the transportation sector. America also asserts power culturally through an extensive network of non-governmental organizations inside the country too. Then there is the fact that the Iraqi State’s security sector is aligned with that of the US, which provides technology, engages in intelligence sharing, and is virtually joined at the hip.

When the US partners with regional countries to train their soldiers and ally with them in the security, military, and intelligence fields, they do so in order to ensure that they are dominated and do not act to damage their influence. Take Lebanon, for example: its Army is supplied and trained by the US armed forces, yet it is so weak that it basically functions as a glorified police force. Another example is the former government of Afghanistan and its armed forces, which fled immediately and collapsed like a deck of cards the moment the United States left the country.

Iraqi PM Ali al-Zaidi, Lebanese Premier Nawaf Salam, along with Syrian President Ahmed al-Shara’a, all talk about their intentions to restore national sovereignty – that is, while the United States tugs at the chains tied around their necks. None of them are allowed to develop any militaries capable of self-defense; none of them are granted the ability to determine their own policies vis-à-vis the region. All three of these Washington-backed leaders carry more or less the same message: Iran is the problem, and the solution is subservience to the West.

If Iraq truly wanted sovereignty, it would have to break away from its dependence on the US’s physical $500 million cash transfers, but in order to do that it would mean risking immediate creditor seizures connected to roughly 40 billion dollars of debt that had been racked up under the previous leadership of President Saddam Hussein.

In other words, the modern Iraqi State was built by the United States. It is not allowed to possess strategic weapons, has no sophisticated air defenses, has an army that has been limited by the United States, and its security sector is joined at the hip with the CIA. US and Western corporations are heavily invested in the nation’s infrastructure; its oil revenues are shipped off to New York and can be held hostage at any time if the White House doesn’t approve of the country’s policy decisions.

Yet, the argument is that because of naturally occurring trade ties with a bigger and more powerful neighboring country, one that hasn’t undergone a regime change operation tearing down the entire State, it is the Iranians who “occupy” Iraq. 

Pro-war Washington-based think tanks – the same ones that helped lie the US into the 2003 invasion – claim that the Islamic Resistance in Iraq is the biggest problem the country faces. This alliance of militias, which includes some of the prominent PMU groups, in addition to the newer Awliya ad-Dam movement, is presented as the big problem. However, without these groups, who would have defeated ISIS? Furthermore, without them, would the US even bother to withdraw its soldiers from the country in the first place?

The United States spent around $3 trillion on the Iraq War; it also spent a bare minimum of $12 billion dollars to ensure regime change in neighboring Syria – that we know about. They were never going to engage in such costly endeavors just to allow those countries to flourish the moment they “leave”. In fact, framing it as if the US has somehow left Syria and Iraq is simply wrong.

Iraq is a country that the US still holds hostage. Now its big project is to disarm the Islamic Resistance in Iraq, just as it is pushing to disarm the Palestinian resistance in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon. In the cases of Iraq and Lebanon, the US-backed official armed forces of those nations are not capable of simply seizing the weapons of the resistance factions, moves that could trigger civil wars. For all these reasons and more, the US has not actually left Iraq; it will remain until a leadership takes over that is run by the Iraqi people and for the Iraqi people.

– Robert Inlakesh is a journalist, writer, and documentary filmmaker. He focuses on the Middle East, specializing in Palestine. He contributed this article to The Palestine Chronicle.

Britain’s Green Party Backs One Democratic State in Palestine: What Comes Next?

By Alain Alameddine & Saman Hasan

Britain’s Greens have formally adopted an anti-Zionist policy supporting BDS, Palestinian right of return and one democratic state. (Photos: Via Green Party IG Page)

This is not the first motion of its kind. This motion, however, has caused a louder stir. This should push a number of actors to move in this liberatory democratic direction.

On October 4, 2026, the UK Green Party officially adopted a motion formally establishing it as an anti-Zionist party and calling for the establishment of a single democratic Palestinian State with equal rights for all.

What are the motion’s key statements? What truth is there to accusations of antisemitism and anti-Palestinianism? And what does the motion mean next for Palestinians and allies?

Key Points

Named “Zionism is Racism”, the motion points to Zionism as an ideology that calls for the existence of an “ethnonationalist Jewish State in historic Palestine to the exclusion and/or domination of the non-Jewish population”, and a practice that has caused the “dehumanization, displacement, dispossession, disenfranchisement and destruction of Palestinians”. It also points to the fact that Zionism was based on European settler-colonial systems of domination and that it has created racial hierarchies between Jews. Accordingly, it labels Zionism as racist, and the Green Party as anti-Zionist. 

The motion also calls for a single democratic state in Palestine, including the right of return. Interestingly, it does not both-side the colonizers and the colonized by speaking of “Israel-Palestine” or of a binational state. Instead, it explicitly speaks of a single Palestinian state. This is in line with its assessment of Israel as a colonial endeavor and points to the need to dismantle all colonial relations of power in order to allow for true Palestinian self-determination—an obvious stance, indeed, but one that is often buried under the weight of Zionist cultural hegemony.

Does the establishment of one Palestinian state neglect the rights of Jews? Not at all. The motion explicitly states it is “not aimed at the religious or ethnic background of those who may identify as Zionists” and refuses to “equate Jewish identity with Zionist ideology or political practice”. To clear any lingering doubts, the document calls for “equal rights for all”.

Finally, the motion refers to the land between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea as “historic Palestine”. However, those borders were carved by the British occupation. A number of regions that were carved out of it, such as the Golan Heights or today’s Southern Lebanon, were historically part of Palestine. The political administration of our region was different from the European concept of states with hard borders altogether. A more accurate expression would be Mandatory Palestine, 1947 Palestine, or simply Palestine.

Is the Motion Anti-Jewish?

The accusation that the motion is “antisemitic” is based on the claim that Zionism is simply “the right of the Jewish people to self-determination”. There are indeed several definitions of Zionism; this is one of them. However, the motion defines the Zionism it considers to be racist as “a political ideology which called for the creation – and, now it exists, the continuity – of an ethnonationalist Jewish State in historic Palestine to the exclusion and/or domination of the non-Jewish population”. Any reflections on the motion should be based on its definition, not on one it does not adopt.

Furthermore, the motion’s definition is indeed the one that the Zionist movement has adopted for more than a century. For example, the 1917 Balfour Declaration does not mention Jewish self-determination, but speaks of “the establishment in Palestine of a national home for the Jewish people”—a specific endeavor Jews worldwide were not consulted about and did not determine in any way. The state of Israel also follows the same definition of Zionism.

For example, although Green Party leader Zack Polanski is Jewish, the colony banned him from entering it, not following his renunciation of his Jewishness, but following his party’s support of democracy in Palestine. Zionism and Israel are therefore not about Jewish self-determination but about colonizing Palestine.

Finally, Jews are part of dozens of societies and citizens of dozens of states around the world. Just like other religious, cultural or other identities, they may feel they form a people or nation with those who share their identity, but this does not grant them political rights.

For example, Muslims also speak of belonging to one Ummah or nation. But this does not grant them the political right to enter holy Islamic lands such as Mecca without proper authorization by Saudi authorities. Politicizing Jewish identity —i.e., considering Jews have collective political rights on the basis of their being Jewish rather than on the basis of being citizens of their states— is an identitarian premise that Zionism has weaponized, not a universal concept it is racist to challenge.

Does the Motion Trespass the Palestinian Right to Self-determination?

This accusation is based on the premise that it is Palestinians, not a political movement in the UK, that must decide the proper solution to the occupation of Palestine. Although it might sound reasonable or possibly even anti-colonial at first glance, it is fundamentally flawed. Standing against the establishment of a democratic Palestinian state in all of Palestine in the name of Palestinian self-determination is a laughable contradiction. Democracy is, by definition, rule of the people. Democratic states are precisely the tool by which people self-determine.

Some point to polls that show a number of Palestinian support the “two-state solution”—a euphemism for the occupation of 78% of Palestine, akin to calling rape a “two-body solution”. However, this fails to consider at least four factors.

First, the majority of such polls are funded by U.S., European or pro-Israeli corporations. Second, those polls target Palestinians in the West Bank, i.e. Palestinians who are benefiting from the existence of some kind of a Palestinian authority, even if to a very limited extent, and who would understandably rather not lose that. Third, those polls often fail to offer proper definitions, such as whether the “two-state” proposal would be a final model or an interim one, or if the “one state” would be a liberated Palestinian state or one that still includes elements of Zionism.

But fourthly and most importantly, such polls fail to consider that Palestinians live under constant threat. Would you expect a Palestinian to actually prefer the occupation of 78% of their land over its liberation? Is it not more reasonable to conclude that, with the exception of a tiny minority of collaborators, Palestinians who tolerate the existence of the colony are settling for crumbs under duress rather than expressing their actual preference?

Indeed, did the world poll France before liberating it from German occupation, Ukraine before sending it weapons to fight the Russian occupation, or South Africa before standing with it against apartheid rule? Polls under occupation are ridiculously meaningless. If, in a liberated Palestine, Palestinians decide —for some strange reason— to give away 78% of their land, it will have been their free will for others to respect. Until then, standing with Palestinian self-determination means precisely standing with the establishment of a democratic Palestinian state on all of Palestine—this is the only thing it can mean.

What Next?

This is not the first motion of its kind. A number of movements such as Citizens in a State (Lebanon), the Democratic Popular Unity Party (Jordan), Democratic Socialist of America (USA), Diem25 (Europe) and others have expressed similar positions. This motion, however, has caused a louder stir. This should push a number of actors to move in this liberatory democratic direction.

First, Palestinians in Palestine and the diaspora must revive their historical vision for one democratic state with equal rights for all its citizens. This means formulating a single document that clarifies this program, as was the case with the Palestinian National Charter before Oslo. Where Palestinian political organizations do not shoulder this responsibility, individual Palestinians must.

Second, pro-Palestinian and anti-Zionist organizations must go beyond standing against genocide or expressing vague positions that avoid challenging the colony’s existence. Israel is an apartheid, occupation, genocidal settler state.

The Israel you have seen over the past three years is the one we have been seeing over the past 78 years. It is the only Israel there is—a danger to Palestine, Al-Sham and the world. The time for non-solutions is over. We must push forward for the dismantling of the settler state and the establishment of its antithesis.

– Alain Alameddine, coordinator at the One Democratic State Initiative

– Saman Hasan, coordinator at the One Democratic State Initiative